Anderlecht 1–2 Lyon
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Matchday 1 · Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
Lyon won 2–1 away at Anderlecht on matchday 1. After the match, Anderlecht are 28th with 0 points, with a 38% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Lyon are now 8th with 6 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 59%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (43%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 9% chance. Expected goals before the match: Anderlecht 1.2, Lyon 1.4.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 62% → 38% | 11% → 1% |
| Lyon | 85% → 99% | 32% → 59% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Anderlecht
- MD1LLyon H this match1–2
- MD2LGNK Dinamo A0–1
- MD3Jagiellonia A22 October
- MD4Salzburg H5 November
- MD5OFI Crete A26 November
- MD6Hoffenheim H10 December
- MD7Sunderland H21 January
- MD8Marseille A28 January
Lyon
- MD1WAnderlecht A this match2–1
- MD2WCrystal Palace H3–2
- MD3Hoffenheim A22 October
- MD4Real Sociedad A5 November
- MD5Lillestrøm H26 November
- MD6Union SG H10 December
- MD7Jagiellonia A21 January
- MD8Leverkusen H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Anderlecht vs Lyon?
The match finished 1–2 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Anderlecht vs Lyon a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Anderlecht a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Lyon 43%. The outcome the model rated most likely (43%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 9% chance.
How did the result change Anderlecht's chances?
Before matchday 1, Anderlecht had a 62% chance of going through (top 8: 11%). Now it is 38% (top 8: 1%).
How did the result change Lyon's chances?
Before matchday 1, Lyon had a 85% chance of going through (top 8: 32%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 59%).
When was Anderlecht vs Lyon played?
Wednesday 16 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)