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Manchester United 4–0 Sabah

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Matchday 1 · Thursday 10 September, 21:00

4–0Final score
Sabah25th, 3 pts

Manchester United beat Sabah 4–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Manchester United are 21st with 3 points, with a 60% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Sabah are now 25th with 3 points, with a 4% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.

83%Manchester United win
12%Draw
5%Sabah win

The outcome the model rated most likely (83%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 9% chance. Expected goals before the match: Manchester United 2.8, Sabah 0.6.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).

TeamThrough (top 24)Top 8
Manchester United81% → 60%18% → 2%
Sabah3% → 4%<1% → <1%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Manchester United

3 points from 3 matches, goal difference -1

  1. MD1WSabah H this match4–0
  2. MD2LAtlético de Madrid A0–2
  3. MD3LComo A1–4
  4. MD4Roma H3 November
  5. MD5Sporting CP A25 November
  6. MD6Leipzig H8 December
  7. MD7Bayern München H20 January
  8. MD8Villarreal A27 January

Sabah

3 points from 3 matches, goal difference -3

  1. MD1LManchester United A this match0–4
  2. MD2WSlavia Praha H2–0
  3. MD3LBorussia Dortmund H1–2
  4. MD4Viking A4 November
  5. MD5Barcelona H25 November
  6. MD6Villarreal A8 December
  7. MD7Napoli H20 January
  8. MD8Arsenal A27 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Manchester United vs Sabah?

The match finished 4–0 (Champions League, matchday 1).

Was Man United vs Sabah a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Manchester United a 83% chance of winning, a draw 12% and Sabah 5%. The outcome the model rated most likely (83%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 9% chance.

How did the result change Manchester United's chances?

Before matchday 1, Manchester United had a 81% chance of going through (top 8: 18%). Now it is 60% (top 8: 2%).

How did the result change Sabah's chances?

Before matchday 1, Sabah had a 3% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Now it is 4% (top 8: <1%).

When was Manchester United vs Sabah played?

Thursday 10 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 1 fixtures

Full matchday 1: what every team needs →