Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Tuesday 8 September, 21:00
Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 3–2 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Borussia Dortmund are 13th with 6 points, with a 95% chance of going through (top 8: 18%). Villarreal are now 19th with 3 points, with a 82% chance of going through (top 8: 5%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (50%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 3% chance. Expected goals before the match: Borussia Dortmund 1.6, Villarreal 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 88% → 95% | 27% → 18% |
| Villarreal | 71% → 82% | 10% → 5% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Borussia Dortmund
- MD1WVillarreal H this match3–2
- MD2LBodø/Glimt A0–1
- MD3WSabah A2–1
- MD4Real Betis H4 November
- MD5Arsenal A24 November
- MD6Inter H9 December
- MD7Aston Villa A19 January
- MD8AEK Athens H27 January
Villarreal
- MD1LBorussia Dortmund A this match2–3
- MD2WNapoli H3–1
- MD3LLiverpool A3–4
- MD4Paris Saint-Germain H3 November
- MD5Slavia Praha A25 November
- MD6Sabah H8 December
- MD7Fenerbahçe A20 January
- MD8Manchester United H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
The match finished 3–2 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Dortmund vs Villarreal a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Borussia Dortmund a 50% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Villarreal 25%. The outcome the model rated most likely (50%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 3% chance.
How did the result change Borussia Dortmund's chances?
Before matchday 1, Borussia Dortmund had a 88% chance of going through (top 8: 27%). Now it is 95% (top 8: 18%).
How did the result change Villarreal's chances?
Before matchday 1, Villarreal had a 71% chance of going through (top 8: 10%). Now it is 82% (top 8: 5%).
When was Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal played?
Tuesday 8 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)