Sabah 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 18:45
Borussia Dortmund won 2–1 away at Sabah on matchday 3. After the match, Sabah are 25th with 3 points, with a 4% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Borussia Dortmund are now 13th with 6 points, with a 95% chance of going through (top 8: 18%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
The outcome the model rated most likely (71%). The model's most likely score was 0–2 (13%); the actual score had a 10% chance. Expected goals before the match: Sabah 0.8, Borussia Dortmund 2.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah | 22nd → 25th | 7% → 4% | <1% → <1% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 18th → 13th | 89% → 95% | 14% → 18% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Sabah
- MD1LManchester United A0–4
- MD2WSlavia Praha H2–0
- MD3LBorussia Dortmund H this match1–2
- MD4Viking A4 November
- MD5Barcelona H25 November
- MD6Villarreal A8 December
- MD7Napoli H20 January
- MD8Arsenal A27 January
Borussia Dortmund
- MD1WVillarreal H3–2
- MD2LBodø/Glimt A0–1
- MD3WSabah A this match2–1
- MD4Real Betis H4 November
- MD5Arsenal A24 November
- MD6Inter H9 December
- MD7Aston Villa A19 January
- MD8AEK Athens H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?
The match finished 1–2 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Sabah vs Dortmund a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Sabah a 11% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Borussia Dortmund 71%. The outcome the model rated most likely (71%). The model's most likely score was 0–2 (13%); the actual score had a 10% chance.
How did the result change Sabah's chances?
Before matchday 3, Sabah had a 7% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Now it is 4% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Borussia Dortmund's chances?
Before matchday 3, Borussia Dortmund had a 89% chance of going through (top 8: 14%). Now it is 95% (top 8: 18%).
When was Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund played?
Tuesday 20 October, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)