Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 18:45
Sabah34th, 0 pts
–Matchday 3
Borussia Dortmund12th, 3 pts
10%Sabah win
17%Draw
73%Borussia Dortmund win
The model gives Sabah a 10% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Borussia Dortmund 73%. Sabah's chance of going through is 2% now: a win would take it to 8%, a defeat to 1%. Borussia Dortmund's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. The most likely score is 0–2 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sabah: top 8 | Sabah: through | Borussia Dortmund: top 8 | Borussia Dortmund: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2% | 34% | 95% |
| Sabah win | <1% | 8% | 13% | 85% |
| Draw | 0% | 2% | 20% | 91% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 0% | 1% | 41% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven
- Liverpool – Villarreal
- Manchester City – AEK Athens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid
- Como – Manchester United
- Lille – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Viking
- Club Brugge – Lens
- Bayern München – Arsenal
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Feyenoord
- Sporting CP – LASK