Knockout Math
Latviski

Sabah vs Slavia Praha: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 18:45

Sabah34th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Slavia Praha22nd, 0 pts
23%Sabah win
25%Draw
52%Slavia Praha win

The model gives Sabah a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Slavia Praha 52%. Sabah's chance of going through is 2% now: a win would take it to 6%, a defeat to <1%. Slavia Praha's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 31%, a defeat to 8%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Sabah: top 8Sabah: throughSlavia Praha: top 8Slavia Praha: through
Now<1%2%<1%21%
Sabah win<1%6%<1%8%
Draw<1%1%<1%13%
Slavia Praha win0%<1%1%31%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

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