Villarreal 3–1 Napoli
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
Villarreal beat Napoli 3–1 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Villarreal are 19th with 3 points, with a 82% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Napoli are now 22nd with 3 points, with a 89% chance of going through (top 8: 9%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 36%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 3% chance. Expected goals before the match: Villarreal 1.3, Napoli 1.3.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 21st → 19th | 62% → 82% | 4% → 5% |
| Napoli | 28th → 22nd | 90% → 89% | 20% → 9% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Villarreal
- MD1LBorussia Dortmund A2–3
- MD2WNapoli H this match3–1
- MD3LLiverpool A3–4
- MD4Paris Saint-Germain H3 November
- MD5Slavia Praha A25 November
- MD6Sabah H8 December
- MD7Fenerbahçe A20 January
- MD8Manchester United H27 January
Napoli
- MD1LArsenal H0–1
- MD2LVillarreal A this match1–3
- MD3WBodø/Glimt H4–3
- MD4Porto A4 November
- MD5Manchester City A24 November
- MD6Club Brugge H8 December
- MD7Sabah A20 January
- MD8Viking H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Villarreal vs Napoli?
The match finished 3–1 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Was Villarreal vs Napoli a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Villarreal a 36% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Napoli 38%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 36%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 3% chance.
How did the result change Villarreal's chances?
Before matchday 2, Villarreal had a 62% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 82% (top 8: 5%).
How did the result change Napoli's chances?
Before matchday 2, Napoli had a 90% chance of going through (top 8: 20%). Now it is 89% (top 8: 9%).
When was Villarreal vs Napoli played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP (0–2)
- Sabah – Slavia Praha (2–0)
- Arsenal – Lille (3–0)
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United (2–0)
- Inter – Club Brugge (3–4)
- Galatasaray – Barcelona (1–4)
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven (1–0)
- Viking – Bayern München (3–3)
- Feyenoord – Como (3–2)
- LASK – Liverpool (3–6)
- Roma – Real Madrid (3–4)
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe (6–0)
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens (3–1)
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund (1–0)
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain (2–4)
- Real Betis – Porto (3–2)
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart (0–3)