Villarreal vs Napoli: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
Villarreal21st, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Napoli28th, 0 pts
36%Villarreal win
26%Draw
38%Napoli win
The model gives Villarreal a 36% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Napoli 38%. Villarreal's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 82%, a defeat to 47%. Napoli's chance of going through is 90% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 82%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Villarreal: top 8 | Villarreal: through | Napoli: top 8 | Napoli: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 5% | 63% | 21% | 90% |
| Villarreal win | 10% | 82% | 8% | 82% |
| Draw | 3% | 60% | 16% | 90% |
| Napoli win | 1% | 47% | 37% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart