What does Viking need to go through in the Champions League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 3, Viking are 33rd with 1 point. Next match: 4 November, at home against Sabah. In our simulations Viking go through (24th place or better) in 9% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Feyenoord (matchday 6) and PSV Eindhoven (matchday 7): each result moves the chances by about 20 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 35th, average 30.8.
Viking matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Wednesday 9 September, 18:45Win 10%, draw 17%, defeat 72%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 21:00Win 5%, draw 12%, defeat 83%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 3Wednesday 21 October, 21:00Win 6%, draw 13%, defeat 80%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 4Wednesday 4 November, 21:00Win 53%, draw 24%, defeat 23%Chance of going through:If they win15%If they draw3%If they lose1%
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Matchday 5Wednesday 25 November, 21:00Win 6%, draw 12%, defeat 82%Chance of going through:If they win36%If they draw14%If they lose6%
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Matchday 6Tuesday 8 December, 18:45Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 48%Chance of going through:If they win23%If they draw7%If they lose3%
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Matchday 7Wednesday 20 January, 21:00Win 20%, draw 23%, defeat 56%Chance of going through:If they win27%If they draw8%If they lose3%
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Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00Win 8%, draw 15%, defeat 77%Chance of going through:If they win34%If they draw12%If they lose6%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Viking collect in the league phase.
Where could Viking finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Champions League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
- 2Aston Villa9100%
- 3Liverpool9100%
- 4Real Madrid9100%
- 5Real Betis999%
- 6Stuttgart797%
- 7Arsenal7100%
- 8Barcelona6>99%
- 9Como691%
- 10Manchester City699%
- 11Club Brugge687%
- 12Sporting CP690%
- 13Borussia Dortmund695%
- 14Bayern München5>99%
- 15Roma477%
- 16Atlético de Madrid496%
- 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
- 18PSV Eindhoven477%
- 19Villarreal382%
- 20Inter389%
- 21Manchester United360%
- 22Napoli389%
- 23Galatasaray355%
- 24LASK331%
- 25Sabah34%
- 26Feyenoord357%
- 27Lens338%
- 28Bodø/Glimt359%
- 29AEK Athens319%
- 30Leipzig364%
- 31Fenerbahçe230%
- 32Slavia Praha14%
- 33Viking19%
- 34Porto027%
- 35Lille014%
- 36Slovan Bratislava03%
How the league phase works
The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Viking's chances of going through in the Champions League?
Across 30,000 simulations Viking go through (24th place or better) in 9% of cases and reach the top 8 in <1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Viking need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Viking's next match?
4 November, at home against Sabah on matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Which match matters most for Viking?
The matchday 5 game away against Atlético de Madrid. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 30 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.