Aston Villa 3–1 Viking
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 21:00
Aston Villa beat Viking 3–1 at home on matchday 3. After the match, Aston Villa are 2nd with 9 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 62%). Viking are now 33rd with 1 point, with a 9% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
The outcome the model rated most likely (80%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 7% chance. Expected goals before the match: Aston Villa 2.6, Viking 0.6.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 3rd → 2nd | 99% → 100% | 56% → 62% |
| Viking | 27th → 33rd | 12% → 9% | <1% → <1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Aston Villa
- MD1WClub Brugge A3–2
- MD2WFenerbahçe H6–0
- MD3WViking H this match3–1
- MD4Barcelona A3 November
- MD5Galatasaray A24 November
- MD6Paris Saint-Germain H8 December
- MD7Borussia Dortmund H19 January
- MD8Slavia Praha A27 January
Viking
- MD1LStuttgart A1–3
- MD2DBayern München H3–3
- MD3LAston Villa A this match1–3
- MD4Sabah H4 November
- MD5Atlético de Madrid A25 November
- MD6Feyenoord H8 December
- MD7PSV Eindhoven H20 January
- MD8Napoli A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Viking?
The match finished 3–1 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Aston Villa vs Viking a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Aston Villa a 80% chance of winning, a draw 14% and Viking 7%. The outcome the model rated most likely (80%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 7% chance.
How did the result change Aston Villa's chances?
Before matchday 3, Aston Villa had a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 56%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 62%).
How did the result change Viking's chances?
Before matchday 3, Viking had a 12% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Now it is 9% (top 8: <1%).
When was Aston Villa vs Viking played?
Wednesday 21 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)