Napoli vs Viking: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Napoli28th, 0 pts
–Matchday 8
Viking30th, 0 pts
78%Napoli win
14%Draw
8%Viking win
The model gives Napoli a 78% chance of winning, a draw 14% and Viking 8%. Napoli's chance of going through is 90% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 72%. Viking's chance of going through is 10% now: a win would take it to 33%, a defeat to 7%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Napoli: top 8 | Napoli: through | Viking: top 8 | Viking: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 90% | <1% | 10% |
| Napoli win | 25% | 93% | <1% | 7% |
| Draw | 9% | 81% | <1% | 13% |
| Viking win | 5% | 72% | <1% | 33% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
4–07%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Arsenal – Sabah
- Roma – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Bayern München – Real Betis
- Barcelona – Como
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Liverpool – Lens
- Manchester City – Sporting CP
- Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Slavia Praha – Aston Villa
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter