Napoli 0–1 Arsenal
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Wednesday 9 September, 21:00
Arsenal won 1–0 away at Napoli on matchday 1. After the match, Napoli are 22nd with 3 points, with a 89% chance of going through (top 8: 9%). Arsenal are now 7th with 7 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 86%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (46%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance. Expected goals before the match: Napoli 1.1, Arsenal 1.5.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 93% → 89% | 36% → 9% |
| Arsenal | 99% → 100% | 64% → 86% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Napoli
- MD1LArsenal H this match0–1
- MD2LVillarreal A1–3
- MD3WBodø/Glimt H4–3
- MD4Porto A4 November
- MD5Manchester City A24 November
- MD6Club Brugge H8 December
- MD7Sabah A20 January
- MD8Viking H27 January
Arsenal
- MD1WNapoli A this match1–0
- MD2WLille H3–0
- MD3DBayern München A2–2
- MD4Slavia Praha A4 November
- MD5Borussia Dortmund H24 November
- MD6Real Madrid H9 December
- MD7Real Betis A20 January
- MD8Sabah H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Napoli vs Arsenal?
The match finished 0–1 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Napoli vs Arsenal a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Napoli a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Arsenal 46%. The outcome the model rated most likely (46%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance.
How did the result change Napoli's chances?
Before matchday 1, Napoli had a 93% chance of going through (top 8: 36%). Now it is 89% (top 8: 9%).
How did the result change Arsenal's chances?
Before matchday 1, Arsenal had a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 64%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 86%).
When was Napoli vs Arsenal played?
Wednesday 9 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)