Napoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
Napoli beat Bodø/Glimt 4–3 at home on matchday 3. After the match, Napoli are 22nd with 3 points, with a 89% chance of going through (top 8: 9%). Bodø/Glimt are now 28th with 3 points, with a 59% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
The outcome the model rated most likely (59%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a <1% chance. Expected goals before the match: Napoli 1.8, Bodø/Glimt 0.9.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 32nd → 22nd | 78% → 89% | 5% → 9% |
| Bodø/Glimt | 24th → 28th | 67% → 59% | 4% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Napoli
- MD1LArsenal H0–1
- MD2LVillarreal A1–3
- MD3WBodø/Glimt H this match4–3
- MD4Porto A4 November
- MD5Manchester City A24 November
- MD6Club Brugge H8 December
- MD7Sabah A20 January
- MD8Viking H27 January
Bodø/Glimt
- MD1LBayern München A0–5
- MD2WBorussia Dortmund H1–0
- MD3LNapoli A this match3–4
- MD4Lille H3 November
- MD5LASK H24 November
- MD6Lens A9 December
- MD7Atlético de Madrid H19 January
- MD8Club Brugge A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
The match finished 4–3 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Napoli a 59% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Bodø/Glimt 18%. The outcome the model rated most likely (59%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a <1% chance.
How did the result change Napoli's chances?
Before matchday 3, Napoli had a 78% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Now it is 89% (top 8: 9%).
How did the result change Bodø/Glimt's chances?
Before matchday 3, Bodø/Glimt had a 67% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 59% (top 8: 2%).
When was Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt played?
Tuesday 20 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)