Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
Napoli28th, 0 pts
–Matchday 3
Bodø/Glimt36th, 0 pts
63%Napoli win
21%Draw
16%Bodø/Glimt win
The model gives Napoli a 63% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Bodø/Glimt 16%. Napoli's chance of going through is 90% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 74%. Bodø/Glimt's chance of going through is 41% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 33%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Napoli: top 8 | Napoli: through | Bodø/Glimt: top 8 | Bodø/Glimt: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 90% | 2% | 41% |
| Napoli win | 28% | 95% | 1% | 33% |
| Draw | 11% | 85% | 2% | 45% |
| Bodø/Glimt win | 6% | 74% | 6% | 69% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven
- Liverpool – Villarreal
- Manchester City – AEK Athens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid
- Como – Manchester United
- Lille – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Viking
- Club Brugge – Lens
- Bayern München – Arsenal
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Feyenoord
- Sporting CP – LASK