Paris Saint-Germain 4–2 Barcelona
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Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
Paris Saint-Germain beat Barcelona 4–2 at home on matchday 3. After the match, Paris Saint-Germain are 1st with 9 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 96%). Barcelona are now 8th with 6 points, with a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 71%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
The outcome the model rated most likely (50%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 1% chance. Expected goals before the match: Paris Saint-Germain 1.6, Barcelona 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1st → 1st | 100% → 100% | 89% → 96% |
| Barcelona | 2nd → 8th | >99% → >99% | 81% → 71% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Paris Saint-Germain
- MD1WSlovan Bratislava H6–1
- MD2WManchester City A4–2
- MD3WBarcelona H this match4–2
- MD4Villarreal A3 November
- MD5Roma H25 November
- MD6Aston Villa A8 December
- MD7Como A20 January
- MD8Galatasaray H27 January
Barcelona
- MD1WFeyenoord H5–1
- MD2WGalatasaray A4–1
- MD3LParis Saint-Germain A this match2–4
- MD4Aston Villa H3 November
- MD5Sabah A25 November
- MD6Manchester City H8 December
- MD7Sporting CP A20 January
- MD8Como H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona?
The match finished 4–2 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was PSG vs Barcelona a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Paris Saint-Germain a 50% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Barcelona 25%. The outcome the model rated most likely (50%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 1% chance.
How did the result change Paris Saint-Germain's chances?
Before matchday 3, Paris Saint-Germain had a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 89%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 96%).
How did the result change Barcelona's chances?
Before matchday 3, Barcelona had a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 81%). Now it is >99% (top 8: 71%).
When was Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona played?
Tuesday 20 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)