Knockout Math
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Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00

Bodø/Glimt36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
29%Bodø/Glimt win
26%Draw
45%Borussia Dortmund win

The model gives Bodø/Glimt a 29% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Borussia Dortmund 45%. Bodø/Glimt's chance of going through is 41% now: a win would take it to 63%, a defeat to 28%. Borussia Dortmund's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 90%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Bodø/Glimt: top 8Bodø/Glimt: throughBorussia Dortmund: top 8Borussia Dortmund: through
Now2%41%34%95%
Bodø/Glimt win4%63%18%90%
Draw1%40%27%95%
Borussia Dortmund win<1%28%49%99%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%

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