Lille 2–4 Galatasaray
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 18:45
Galatasaray won 4–2 away at Lille on matchday 3. After the match, Lille are 35th with 0 points, with a 14% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Galatasaray are now 23rd with 3 points, with a 55% chance of going through (top 8: 1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 29%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 1% chance. Expected goals before the match: Lille 1.5, Galatasaray 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 34th → 35th | 36% → 14% | 1% → <1% |
| Galatasaray | 35th → 23rd | 27% → 55% | <1% → 1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Lille
- MD1LReal Betis H2–3
- MD2LArsenal A0–3
- MD3LGalatasaray H this match2–4
- MD4Bodø/Glimt A3 November
- MD5Bayern München H25 November
- MD6Stuttgart A9 December
- MD7Slovan Bratislava H19 January
- MD8Roma A27 January
Galatasaray
- MD1LSporting CP A1–3
- MD2LBarcelona H1–4
- MD3WLille A this match4–2
- MD4Stuttgart H3 November
- MD5Aston Villa H24 November
- MD6AEK Athens A8 December
- MD7Feyenoord H19 January
- MD8Paris Saint-Germain A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lille vs Galatasaray?
The match finished 2–4 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Lille vs Galatasaray a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Lille a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Galatasaray 29%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 29%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 1% chance.
How did the result change Lille's chances?
Before matchday 3, Lille had a 36% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Now it is 14% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Galatasaray's chances?
Before matchday 3, Galatasaray had a 27% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Now it is 55% (top 8: 1%).
When was Lille vs Galatasaray played?
Wednesday 21 October, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)