Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético de Madrid
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Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
Stuttgart and Atlético de Madrid drew 1–1 on matchday 3. After the match, Stuttgart are 6th with 7 points, with a 97% chance of going through (top 8: 29%). Atlético de Madrid are now 16th with 4 points, with a 96% chance of going through (top 8: 24%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The exact score was also the model's most likely one (12%). Expected goals before the match: Stuttgart 1.2, Atlético de Madrid 1.4.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart | 4th → 6th | 97% → 97% | 34% → 29% |
| Atlético de Madrid | 15th → 16th | 96% → 96% | 31% → 24% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Stuttgart
- MD1WViking H3–1
- MD2WSlovan Bratislava A3–0
- MD3DAtlético de Madrid H this match1–1
- MD4Galatasaray A3 November
- MD5Inter A25 November
- MD6Lille H9 December
- MD7Club Brugge H19 January
- MD8PSV Eindhoven A27 January
Atlético de Madrid
- MD1LLiverpool A1–2
- MD2WManchester United H2–0
- MD3DStuttgart A this match1–1
- MD4Bayern München H3 November
- MD5Viking H25 November
- MD6PSV Eindhoven A9 December
- MD7Bodø/Glimt A19 January
- MD8Fenerbahçe H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid?
The match finished 1–1 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Stuttgart a 32% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Atlético de Madrid 42%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The exact score was also the model's most likely one (12%).
How did the result change Stuttgart's chances?
Before matchday 3, Stuttgart had a 97% chance of going through (top 8: 34%). Now it is 97% (top 8: 29%).
How did the result change Atlético de Madrid's chances?
Before matchday 3, Atlético de Madrid had a 96% chance of going through (top 8: 31%). Now it is 96% (top 8: 24%).
When was Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid played?
Tuesday 20 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)