Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 18:45
Fenerbahçe19th, 1 pts
–Matchday 3
Slavia Praha22nd, 0 pts
53%Fenerbahçe win
24%Draw
23%Slavia Praha win
The model gives Fenerbahçe a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Slavia Praha 23%. Fenerbahçe's chance of going through is 59% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 35%. Slavia Praha's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 43%, a defeat to 12%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Fenerbahçe: top 8 | Fenerbahçe: through | Slavia Praha: top 8 | Slavia Praha: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 59% | <1% | 21% |
| Fenerbahçe win | 7% | 73% | <1% | 12% |
| Draw | 2% | 52% | <1% | 20% |
| Slavia Praha win | 1% | 35% | 1% | 43% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven
- Liverpool – Villarreal
- Manchester City – AEK Athens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid
- Como – Manchester United
- Lille – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Viking
- Club Brugge – Lens
- Bayern München – Arsenal
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Feyenoord
- Sporting CP – LASK