Bayern München 2–2 Arsenal
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 21:00
Bayern München and Arsenal drew 2–2 on matchday 3. After the match, Bayern München are 14th with 5 points, with a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 64%). Arsenal are now 7th with 7 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 86%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 5% chance. Expected goals before the match: Bayern München 1.5, Arsenal 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 10th → 14th | >99% → >99% | 68% → 64% |
| Arsenal | 7th → 7th | 100% → 100% | 85% → 86% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Bayern München
- MD1WBodø/Glimt H5–0
- MD2DViking A3–3
- MD3DArsenal H this match2–2
- MD4Atlético de Madrid A3 November
- MD5Lille A25 November
- MD6Slavia Praha H8 December
- MD7Manchester United A20 January
- MD8Real Betis H27 January
Arsenal
- MD1WNapoli A1–0
- MD2WLille H3–0
- MD3DBayern München A this match2–2
- MD4Slavia Praha A4 November
- MD5Borussia Dortmund H24 November
- MD6Real Madrid H9 December
- MD7Real Betis A20 January
- MD8Sabah H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bayern München vs Arsenal?
The match finished 2–2 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Bayern Munich vs Arsenal a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Bayern München a 46% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Arsenal 28%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 5% chance.
How did the result change Bayern München's chances?
Before matchday 3, Bayern München had a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 68%). Now it is >99% (top 8: 64%).
How did the result change Arsenal's chances?
Before matchday 3, Arsenal had a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 85%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 86%).
When was Bayern München vs Arsenal played?
Wednesday 21 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)