Como 4–1 Manchester United
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 18:45
Como beat Manchester United 4–1 at home on matchday 3. After the match, Como are 9th with 6 points, with a 91% chance of going through (top 8: 11%). Manchester United are now 21st with 3 points, with a 60% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
The outcome the model rated most likely (37%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 1% chance. Expected goals before the match: Como 1.3, Manchester United 1.3.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 12th → 9th | 68% → 91% | 4% → 11% |
| Manchester United | 13th → 21st | 78% → 60% | 8% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Como
- MD1WLeipzig H4–1
- MD2LFeyenoord A2–3
- MD3WManchester United H this match4–1
- MD4Lens A4 November
- MD5AEK Athens H24 November
- MD6Real Betis A9 December
- MD7Paris Saint-Germain H20 January
- MD8Barcelona A27 January
Manchester United
- MD1WSabah H4–0
- MD2LAtlético de Madrid A0–2
- MD3LComo A this match1–4
- MD4Roma H3 November
- MD5Sporting CP A25 November
- MD6Leipzig H8 December
- MD7Bayern München H20 January
- MD8Villarreal A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Como vs Manchester United?
The match finished 4–1 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Como vs Man United a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Como a 37% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Manchester United 36%. The outcome the model rated most likely (37%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 1% chance.
How did the result change Como's chances?
Before matchday 3, Como had a 68% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 91% (top 8: 11%).
How did the result change Manchester United's chances?
Before matchday 3, Manchester United had a 78% chance of going through (top 8: 8%). Now it is 60% (top 8: 2%).
When was Como vs Manchester United played?
Wednesday 21 October, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)