Paris Saint-Germain vs Galatasaray: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Paris Saint-Germain1st, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Galatasaray29th, 0 pts
77%Paris Saint-Germain win
15%Draw
8%Galatasaray win
The model gives Paris Saint-Germain a 77% chance of winning, a draw 15% and Galatasaray 8%. Paris Saint-Germain's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. Galatasaray's chance of going through is 44% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 40%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Paris Saint-Germain: top 8 | Paris Saint-Germain: through | Galatasaray: top 8 | Galatasaray: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 74% | 99% | 2% | 44% |
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 79% | >99% | 1% | 40% |
| Draw | 59% | 99% | 2% | 52% |
| Galatasaray win | 47% | 97% | 8% | 72% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Arsenal – Sabah
- Roma – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Bayern München – Real Betis
- Barcelona – Como
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Liverpool – Lens
- Manchester City – Sporting CP
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Slavia Praha – Aston Villa
- Napoli – Viking
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter