Lille 2–3 Real Betis
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Tuesday 8 September, 21:00
Real Betis won 3–2 away at Lille on matchday 1. After the match, Lille are 35th with 0 points, with a 14% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Real Betis are now 5th with 9 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 36%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 30%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Lille 1.5, Real Betis 1.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Lille | 63% → 14% | 7% → <1% |
| Real Betis | 61% → 99% | 7% → 36% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Lille
- MD1LReal Betis H this match2–3
- MD2LArsenal A0–3
- MD3LGalatasaray H2–4
- MD4Bodø/Glimt A3 November
- MD5Bayern München H25 November
- MD6Stuttgart A9 December
- MD7Slovan Bratislava H19 January
- MD8Roma A27 January
Real Betis
- MD1WLille A this match3–2
- MD2WPorto H3–2
- MD3WFeyenoord H1–0
- MD4Borussia Dortmund A4 November
- MD5Slovan Bratislava A24 November
- MD6Como H9 December
- MD7Arsenal H20 January
- MD8Bayern München A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lille vs Real Betis?
The match finished 2–3 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Lille vs Real Betis a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Lille a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Real Betis 30%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 30%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance.
How did the result change Lille's chances?
Before matchday 1, Lille had a 63% chance of going through (top 8: 7%). Now it is 14% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Real Betis's chances?
Before matchday 1, Real Betis had a 61% chance of going through (top 8: 7%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 36%).
When was Lille vs Real Betis played?
Tuesday 8 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)