Arsenal 3–0 Lille
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
Arsenal beat Lille 3–0 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Arsenal are 7th with 7 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 86%). Lille are now 35th with 0 points, with a 14% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (75%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 10% chance. Expected goals before the match: Arsenal 2.4, Lille 0.7.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 15th → 7th | >99% → 100% | 77% → 86% |
| Lille | 24th → 35th | 44% → 14% | 2% → <1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Arsenal
- MD1WNapoli A1–0
- MD2WLille H this match3–0
- MD3DBayern München A2–2
- MD4Slavia Praha A4 November
- MD5Borussia Dortmund H24 November
- MD6Real Madrid H9 December
- MD7Real Betis A20 January
- MD8Sabah H27 January
Lille
- MD1LReal Betis H2–3
- MD2LArsenal A this match0–3
- MD3LGalatasaray H2–4
- MD4Bodø/Glimt A3 November
- MD5Bayern München H25 November
- MD6Stuttgart A9 December
- MD7Slovan Bratislava H19 January
- MD8Roma A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Arsenal vs Lille?
The match finished 3–0 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Was Arsenal vs Lille a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Arsenal a 75% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Lille 9%. The outcome the model rated most likely (75%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 10% chance.
How did the result change Arsenal's chances?
Before matchday 2, Arsenal had a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 77%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 86%).
How did the result change Lille's chances?
Before matchday 2, Lille had a 44% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 14% (top 8: <1%).
When was Arsenal vs Lille played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP (0–2)
- Sabah – Slavia Praha (2–0)
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United (2–0)
- Inter – Club Brugge (3–4)
- Galatasaray – Barcelona (1–4)
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven (1–0)
- Viking – Bayern München (3–3)
- Villarreal – Napoli (3–1)
- Feyenoord – Como (3–2)
- LASK – Liverpool (3–6)
- Roma – Real Madrid (3–4)
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe (6–0)
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens (3–1)
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund (1–0)
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain (2–4)
- Real Betis – Porto (3–2)
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart (0–3)