What does Lille need to go through in the Champions League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 3, Lille are 35th with 0 points. Next match: 3 November, away against Bodø/Glimt. In our simulations Lille go through (24th place or better) in 14% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 4 game away against Bodø/Glimt: winning or losing it moves the chances by 26 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 33rd, average 29.9.
Lille matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Tuesday 8 September, 21:00Win 37%, draw 26%, defeat 37%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 21:00Win 7%, draw 14%, defeat 78%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 3Wednesday 21 October, 18:45Win 40%, draw 26%, defeat 33%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 4Tuesday 3 November, 21:00Win 31%, draw 26%, defeat 43%Chance of going through:If they win31%If they draw10%If they lose5%
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Matchday 5Wednesday 25 November, 21:00Win 13%, draw 20%, defeat 67%Chance of going through:If they win39%If they draw16%If they lose9%
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Matchday 6Wednesday 9 December, 21:00Win 22%, draw 24%, defeat 53%Chance of going through:If they win35%If they draw12%If they lose6%
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Matchday 7Tuesday 19 January, 21:00Win 68%, draw 19%, defeat 13%Chance of going through:If they win19%If they draw5%If they lose3%
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Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00Win 23%, draw 24%, defeat 53%Chance of going through:If they win35%If they draw12%If they lose6%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Lille collect in the league phase.
Where could Lille finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Champions League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
- 2Aston Villa9100%
- 3Liverpool9100%
- 4Real Madrid9100%
- 5Real Betis999%
- 6Stuttgart797%
- 7Arsenal7100%
- 8Barcelona6>99%
- 9Como691%
- 10Manchester City699%
- 11Club Brugge687%
- 12Sporting CP690%
- 13Borussia Dortmund695%
- 14Bayern München5>99%
- 15Roma477%
- 16Atlético de Madrid496%
- 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
- 18PSV Eindhoven477%
- 19Villarreal382%
- 20Inter389%
- 21Manchester United360%
- 22Napoli389%
- 23Galatasaray355%
- 24LASK331%
- 25Sabah34%
- 26Feyenoord357%
- 27Lens338%
- 28Bodø/Glimt359%
- 29AEK Athens319%
- 30Leipzig364%
- 31Fenerbahçe230%
- 32Slavia Praha14%
- 33Viking19%
- 34Porto027%
- 35Lille014%
- 36Slovan Bratislava03%
How the league phase works
The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Lille's chances of going through in the Champions League?
Across 30,000 simulations Lille go through (24th place or better) in 14% of cases and reach the top 8 in <1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Lille need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Lille's next match?
3 November, away against Bodø/Glimt on matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Which match matters most for Lille?
The matchday 5 game at home against Bayern München. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 30 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.