Slavia Praha vs Aston Villa: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Slavia Praha22nd, 0 pts
–Matchday 8
Aston Villa11th, 3 pts
23%Slavia Praha win
25%Draw
52%Aston Villa win
The model gives Slavia Praha a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Aston Villa 52%. Slavia Praha's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 42%, a defeat to 12%. Aston Villa's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Slavia Praha: top 8 | Slavia Praha: through | Aston Villa: top 8 | Aston Villa: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 21% | 34% | 95% |
| Slavia Praha win | 1% | 42% | 16% | 88% |
| Draw | <1% | 20% | 24% | 93% |
| Aston Villa win | <1% | 12% | 47% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Arsenal – Sabah
- Roma – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Bayern München – Real Betis
- Barcelona – Como
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Liverpool – Lens
- Manchester City – Sporting CP
- Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Napoli – Viking
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter