Bayern München vs Real Betis: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Bayern München2nd, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Real Betis9th, 3 pts
76%Bayern München win
16%Draw
9%Real Betis win
The model gives Bayern München a 76% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Real Betis 9%. Bayern München's top-8 chance is 83% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 58%. Real Betis's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 79%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Bayern München: top 8 | Bayern München: through | Real Betis: top 8 | Real Betis: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 83% | >99% | 12% | 82% |
| Bayern München win | 88% | >99% | 9% | 79% |
| Draw | 71% | >99% | 17% | 87% |
| Real Betis win | 58% | 99% | 35% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Arsenal – Sabah
- Roma – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Barcelona – Como
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Liverpool – Lens
- Manchester City – Sporting CP
- Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Slavia Praha – Aston Villa
- Napoli – Viking
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter