Knockout Math
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What does Real Betis need to go through in the Champions League?

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Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Real Betis are 9th with 3 points. Next match: 14 October, at home against Porto. In our simulations Real Betis go through (24th place or better) in 82% of cases and make the top 8 in 12%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Feyenoord (matchday 3) and Slovan Bratislava (matchday 5): each result moves the chances by about 28 percentage points.

9thleague position
3point from 1 match
82%chance of going through (top 24)
12%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 16th, average 17.3.

Real Betis matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Tuesday 8 September, 21:00
    AwayLille3–2
    Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
    HomePorto –
    Win 40%, draw 26%, defeat 34%
    Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw81%If they lose68%
  3. Matchday 3Wednesday 21 October, 21:00
    HomeFeyenoord –
    Win 48%, draw 25%, defeat 26%
    Chance of going through:If they win93%If they draw78%If they lose65%
  4. Matchday 4Wednesday 4 November, 21:00
    AwayBorussia Dortmund –
    Win 22%, draw 24%, defeat 54%
    Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw84%If they lose75%
  5. Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 21:00
    AwaySlovan Bratislava –
    Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%
    Chance of going through:If they win91%If they draw75%If they lose64%
  6. Matchday 6Wednesday 9 December, 18:45
    HomeComo –
    Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%
    Chance of going through:If they win93%If they draw79%If they lose67%
  7. Matchday 7Wednesday 20 January, 21:00
    HomeArsenal –
    Win 18%, draw 23%, defeat 59%
    Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw86%If they lose76%
  8. Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
    AwayBayern München –
    Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 76%
    Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw87%If they lose79%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Real Betis collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
3unlikely
40%
50%
60%
7<1%
815%
965%
1097%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19100%
20100%
21100%
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Real Betis finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Champions League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Paris Saint-Germain399%
  2. 2Bayern München3>99%
  3. 3Barcelona399%
  4. 4Manchester United386%
  5. 5Como378%
  6. 6Sporting CP389%
  7. 7Stuttgart388%
  8. 8Manchester City398%
  9. 9Real Betis382%
  10. 10Lens376%
  11. 11Aston Villa395%
  12. 12Borussia Dortmund395%
  13. 13Real Madrid3>99%
  14. 14Liverpool3>99%
  15. 15Arsenal3>99%
  16. 16AEK Athens342%
  17. 17Roma173%
  18. 18Shakhtar Donetsk144%
  19. 19Fenerbahçe159%
  20. 20PSV Eindhoven166%
  21. 21Villarreal063%
  22. 22Slavia Praha021%
  23. 23Club Brugge036%
  24. 24Lille047%
  25. 25Atlético de Madrid089%
  26. 26Inter095%
  27. 27LASK011%
  28. 28Napoli090%
  29. 29Galatasaray044%
  30. 30Viking010%
  31. 31Porto066%
  32. 32Leipzig057%
  33. 33Feyenoord047%
  34. 34Sabah02%
  35. 35Slovan Bratislava011%
  36. 36Bodø/Glimt041%

How the league phase works

The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Other Champions League teams