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Real Betis 3–2 Porto

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00

Real Betis5th, 9 pts
3–2Final score
Porto34th, 0 pts

Real Betis beat Porto 3–2 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Real Betis are 5th with 9 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 36%). Porto are now 34th with 0 points, with a 27% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.

43%Real Betis win
26%Draw
31%Porto win

The outcome the model rated most likely (43%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Real Betis 1.4, Porto 1.2.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).

TeamPositionThrough (top 24)Top 8
Real Betis9th → 5th83% → 99%13% → 36%
Porto31st → 34th65% → 27%5% → <1%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Real Betis

9 points from 3 matches, goal difference +3

  1. MD1WLille A3–2
  2. MD2WPorto H this match3–2
  3. MD3WFeyenoord H1–0
  4. MD4Borussia Dortmund A4 November
  5. MD5Slovan Bratislava A24 November
  6. MD6Como H9 December
  7. MD7Arsenal H20 January
  8. MD8Bayern München A27 January

Porto

0 points from 3 matches, goal difference -4

  1. MD1LManchester City H0–2
  2. MD2LReal Betis A this match2–3
  3. MD3LPSV Eindhoven H0–1
  4. MD4Napoli H4 November
  5. MD5Feyenoord A24 November
  6. MD6Liverpool A9 December
  7. MD7Slavia Praha H19 January
  8. MD8LASK A27 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Real Betis vs Porto?

The match finished 3–2 (Champions League, matchday 2).

Was Real Betis vs Porto a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Real Betis a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Porto 31%. The outcome the model rated most likely (43%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance.

How did the result change Real Betis's chances?

Before matchday 2, Real Betis had a 83% chance of going through (top 8: 13%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 36%).

How did the result change Porto's chances?

Before matchday 2, Porto had a 65% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Now it is 27% (top 8: <1%).

When was Real Betis vs Porto played?

Wednesday 14 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 2 fixtures

Full matchday 2: what every team needs →