Manchester City 2–4 Paris Saint-Germain
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
Paris Saint-Germain won 4–2 away at Manchester City on matchday 2. After the match, Manchester City are 10th with 6 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 45%). Paris Saint-Germain are now 1st with 9 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 96%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (38%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 1% chance. Expected goals before the match: Manchester City 1.3, Paris Saint-Germain 1.3.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 8th → 10th | 99% → 99% | 56% → 45% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1st → 1st | >99% → 100% | 72% → 96% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Manchester City
- MD1WPorto A2–0
- MD2LParis Saint-Germain H this match2–4
- MD3WAEK Athens H5–1
- MD4Leipzig A4 November
- MD5Napoli H24 November
- MD6Barcelona A8 December
- MD7Lens A20 January
- MD8Sporting CP H27 January
Paris Saint-Germain
- MD1WSlovan Bratislava H6–1
- MD2WManchester City A this match4–2
- MD3WBarcelona H4–2
- MD4Villarreal A3 November
- MD5Roma H25 November
- MD6Aston Villa A8 December
- MD7Como A20 January
- MD8Galatasaray H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?
The match finished 2–4 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Was Man City vs PSG a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Manchester City a 35% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Paris Saint-Germain 38%. The outcome the model rated most likely (38%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 1% chance.
How did the result change Manchester City's chances?
Before matchday 2, Manchester City had a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 56%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 45%).
How did the result change Paris Saint-Germain's chances?
Before matchday 2, Paris Saint-Germain had a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 72%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 96%).
When was Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain played?
Wednesday 14 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP (0–2)
- Sabah – Slavia Praha (2–0)
- Arsenal – Lille (3–0)
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United (2–0)
- Inter – Club Brugge (3–4)
- Galatasaray – Barcelona (1–4)
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven (1–0)
- Viking – Bayern München (3–3)
- Villarreal – Napoli (3–1)
- Feyenoord – Como (3–2)
- LASK – Liverpool (3–6)
- Roma – Real Madrid (3–4)
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe (6–0)
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens (3–1)
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund (1–0)
- Real Betis – Porto (3–2)
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart (0–3)