Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
Manchester City8th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Paris Saint-Germain1st, 3 pts
34%Manchester City win
26%Draw
39%Paris Saint-Germain win
The model gives Manchester City a 34% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Paris Saint-Germain 39%. Manchester City's chance of going through is 98% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. Paris Saint-Germain's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 99%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Manchester City: top 8 | Manchester City: through | Paris Saint-Germain: top 8 | Paris Saint-Germain: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 54% | 98% | 74% | 99% |
| Manchester City win | 74% | >99% | 59% | 99% |
| Draw | 51% | 98% | 71% | >99% |
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 38% | 97% | 88% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart