Porto 0–2 Manchester City
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Tuesday 8 September, 21:00
Manchester City won 2–0 away at Porto on matchday 1. After the match, Porto are 34th with 0 points, with a 27% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Manchester City are now 10th with 6 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 45%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (49%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 9% chance. Expected goals before the match: Porto 1.1, Manchester City 1.6.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Porto | 75% → 27% | 14% → <1% |
| Manchester City | 94% → 99% | 42% → 45% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Porto
- MD1LManchester City H this match0–2
- MD2LReal Betis A2–3
- MD3LPSV Eindhoven H0–1
- MD4Napoli H4 November
- MD5Feyenoord A24 November
- MD6Liverpool A9 December
- MD7Slavia Praha H19 January
- MD8LASK A27 January
Manchester City
- MD1WPorto A this match2–0
- MD2LParis Saint-Germain H2–4
- MD3WAEK Athens H5–1
- MD4Leipzig A4 November
- MD5Napoli H24 November
- MD6Barcelona A8 December
- MD7Lens A20 January
- MD8Sporting CP H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Porto vs Manchester City?
The match finished 0–2 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Porto vs Man City a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Porto a 26% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Manchester City 49%. The outcome the model rated most likely (49%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 9% chance.
How did the result change Porto's chances?
Before matchday 1, Porto had a 75% chance of going through (top 8: 14%). Now it is 27% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Manchester City's chances?
Before matchday 1, Manchester City had a 94% chance of going through (top 8: 42%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 45%).
When was Porto vs Manchester City played?
Tuesday 8 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)