What does Galatasaray need to go through in the Champions League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 3, Galatasaray are 23rd with 3 points. Next match: 3 November, at home against Stuttgart. In our simulations Galatasaray go through (24th place or better) in 55% of cases and make the top 8 in 1%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Feyenoord (matchday 7) and AEK Athens (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 46 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 24th, average 23.3.
Galatasaray matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Wednesday 9 September, 21:00Win 24%, draw 25%, defeat 52%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 21:00Win 18%, draw 23%, defeat 59%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 3Wednesday 21 October, 18:45Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 40%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 4Tuesday 3 November, 18:45Win 39%, draw 26%, defeat 35%Chance of going through:If they win77%If they draw49%If they lose35%
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Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 18:45Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%Chance of going through:If they win80%If they draw53%If they lose39%
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Matchday 6Tuesday 8 December, 21:00Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%Chance of going through:If they win76%If they draw46%If they lose31%
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Matchday 7Tuesday 19 January, 18:45Win 48%, draw 25%, defeat 26%Chance of going through:If they win75%If they draw45%If they lose29%
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Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00Win 7%, draw 13%, defeat 80%Chance of going through:If they win85%If they draw66%If they lose51%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Galatasaray collect in the league phase.
Where could Galatasaray finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Champions League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
- 2Aston Villa9100%
- 3Liverpool9100%
- 4Real Madrid9100%
- 5Real Betis999%
- 6Stuttgart797%
- 7Arsenal7100%
- 8Barcelona6>99%
- 9Como691%
- 10Manchester City699%
- 11Club Brugge687%
- 12Sporting CP690%
- 13Borussia Dortmund695%
- 14Bayern München5>99%
- 15Roma477%
- 16Atlético de Madrid496%
- 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
- 18PSV Eindhoven477%
- 19Villarreal382%
- 20Inter389%
- 21Manchester United360%
- 22Napoli389%
- 23Galatasaray355%
- 24LASK331%
- 25Sabah34%
- 26Feyenoord357%
- 27Lens338%
- 28Bodø/Glimt359%
- 29AEK Athens319%
- 30Leipzig364%
- 31Fenerbahçe230%
- 32Slavia Praha14%
- 33Viking19%
- 34Porto027%
- 35Lille014%
- 36Slovan Bratislava03%
How the league phase works
The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Galatasaray's chances of going through in the Champions League?
Across 30,000 simulations Galatasaray go through (24th place or better) in 55% of cases and reach the top 8 in 1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Galatasaray need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Galatasaray's next match?
3 November, at home against Stuttgart on matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Which match matters most for Galatasaray?
The matchday 7 game at home against Feyenoord. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 46 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.