Galatasaray 1–4 Barcelona
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
Barcelona won 4–1 away at Galatasaray on matchday 2. After the match, Galatasaray are 23rd with 3 points, with a 55% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Barcelona are now 8th with 6 points, with a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 71%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (60%). The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 3% chance. Expected goals before the match: Galatasaray 0.9, Barcelona 1.9.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 29th → 23rd | 41% → 55% | 2% → 1% |
| Barcelona | 3rd → 8th | 99% → >99% | 69% → 71% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Galatasaray
- MD1LSporting CP A1–3
- MD2LBarcelona H this match1–4
- MD3WLille A4–2
- MD4Stuttgart H3 November
- MD5Aston Villa H24 November
- MD6AEK Athens A8 December
- MD7Feyenoord H19 January
- MD8Paris Saint-Germain A27 January
Barcelona
- MD1WFeyenoord H5–1
- MD2WGalatasaray A this match4–1
- MD3LParis Saint-Germain A2–4
- MD4Aston Villa H3 November
- MD5Sabah A25 November
- MD6Manchester City H8 December
- MD7Sporting CP A20 January
- MD8Como H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
The match finished 1–4 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Was Galatasaray vs Barcelona a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Galatasaray a 18% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Barcelona 60%. The outcome the model rated most likely (60%). The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 3% chance.
How did the result change Galatasaray's chances?
Before matchday 2, Galatasaray had a 41% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 55% (top 8: 1%).
How did the result change Barcelona's chances?
Before matchday 2, Barcelona had a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 69%). Now it is >99% (top 8: 71%).
When was Galatasaray vs Barcelona played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP (0–2)
- Sabah – Slavia Praha (2–0)
- Arsenal – Lille (3–0)
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United (2–0)
- Inter – Club Brugge (3–4)
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven (1–0)
- Viking – Bayern München (3–3)
- Villarreal – Napoli (3–1)
- Feyenoord – Como (3–2)
- LASK – Liverpool (3–6)
- Roma – Real Madrid (3–4)
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe (6–0)
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens (3–1)
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund (1–0)
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain (2–4)
- Real Betis – Porto (3–2)
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart (0–3)