Galatasaray vs Barcelona: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
Galatasaray29th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Barcelona3rd, 3 pts
19%Galatasaray win
23%Draw
58%Barcelona win
The model gives Galatasaray a 19% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Barcelona 58%. Galatasaray's chance of going through is 44% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 35%. Barcelona's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Galatasaray: top 8 | Galatasaray: through | Barcelona: top 8 | Barcelona: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 44% | 69% | 99% |
| Galatasaray win | 6% | 70% | 46% | 98% |
| Draw | 2% | 47% | 60% | 99% |
| Barcelona win | <1% | 35% | 80% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart