Knockout Math
Latviski

What does Bodø/Glimt need to go through in the Champions League?

← Back to the Champions League table

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Bodø/Glimt are 36th with 0 points. Next match: 14 October, at home against Borussia Dortmund. In our simulations Bodø/Glimt go through (24th place or better) in 41% of cases and make the top 8 in 2%. 10 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations). The biggest match is the matchday 4 game at home against Lille: winning or losing it moves the chances by 36 percentage points.

36thleague position
0point from 1 match
41%chance of going through (top 24)
2%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 32nd, average 25.2.

Bodø/Glimt matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 10 September, 21:00
    AwayBayern München0–5
    Win 7%, draw 13%, defeat 80%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
    HomeBorussia Dortmund –
    Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%
    Chance of going through:If they win63%If they draw40%If they lose28%
  3. Matchday 3Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
    AwayNapoli –
    Win 16%, draw 21%, defeat 63%
    Chance of going through:If they win69%If they draw45%If they lose33%
  4. Matchday 4Tuesday 3 November, 21:00
    HomeLille –
    Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 35%
    Chance of going through:If they win61%If they draw35%If they lose24%
  5. Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 18:45
    HomeLASK –
    Win 61%, draw 22%, defeat 17%
    Chance of going through:If they win52%If they draw28%If they lose19%
  6. Matchday 6Wednesday 9 December, 21:00
    AwayLens –
    Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 48%
    Chance of going through:If they win66%If they draw41%If they lose28%
  7. Matchday 7Tuesday 19 January, 18:45
    HomeAtlético de Madrid –
    Win 23%, draw 25%, defeat 52%
    Chance of going through:If they win67%If they draw42%If they lose30%
  8. Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
    AwayClub Brugge –
    Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 48%
    Chance of going through:If they win65%If they draw40%If they lose29%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Bodø/Glimt collect in the league phase.

00%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
7<1%
87%
948%
1092%
11>99%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19unlikely
20unlikely
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Bodø/Glimt finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Champions League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Paris Saint-Germain399%
  2. 2Bayern München3>99%
  3. 3Barcelona399%
  4. 4Manchester United386%
  5. 5Como378%
  6. 6Sporting CP389%
  7. 7Stuttgart388%
  8. 8Manchester City398%
  9. 9Real Betis382%
  10. 10Lens376%
  11. 11Aston Villa395%
  12. 12Borussia Dortmund395%
  13. 13Real Madrid3>99%
  14. 14Liverpool3>99%
  15. 15Arsenal3>99%
  16. 16AEK Athens342%
  17. 17Roma173%
  18. 18Shakhtar Donetsk144%
  19. 19Fenerbahçe159%
  20. 20PSV Eindhoven166%
  21. 21Villarreal063%
  22. 22Slavia Praha021%
  23. 23Club Brugge036%
  24. 24Lille047%
  25. 25Atlético de Madrid089%
  26. 26Inter095%
  27. 27LASK011%
  28. 28Napoli090%
  29. 29Galatasaray044%
  30. 30Viking010%
  31. 31Porto066%
  32. 32Leipzig057%
  33. 33Feyenoord047%
  34. 34Sabah02%
  35. 35Slovan Bratislava011%
  36. 36Bodø/Glimt041%

How the league phase works

The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Other Champions League teams