Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 AEK Athens
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
Shakhtar Donetsk beat AEK Athens 3–1 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Shakhtar Donetsk are 17th with 4 points, with a 62% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). AEK Athens are now 29th with 3 points, with a 19% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (46%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 5% chance. Expected goals before the match: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5, AEK Athens 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 18th → 17th | 45% → 62% | 2% → 2% |
| AEK Athens | 16th → 29th | 44% → 19% | 1% → <1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Shakhtar Donetsk
- MD1DPSV Eindhoven A1–1
- MD2WAEK Athens H this match3–1
- MD3LInter A0–1
- MD4Sporting CP H3 November
- MD5Fenerbahçe H25 November
- MD6Slovan Bratislava A9 December
- MD7Leipzig A20 January
- MD8Real Madrid H27 January
AEK Athens
- MD1WLASK H1–0
- MD2LShakhtar Donetsk A this match1–3
- MD3LManchester City A1–5
- MD4Real Madrid H4 November
- MD5Como A24 November
- MD6Galatasaray H8 December
- MD7Roma H19 January
- MD8Borussia Dortmund A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
The match finished 3–1 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Was Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 46% chance of winning, a draw 26% and AEK Athens 28%. The outcome the model rated most likely (46%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 5% chance.
How did the result change Shakhtar Donetsk's chances?
Before matchday 2, Shakhtar Donetsk had a 45% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 62% (top 8: 2%).
How did the result change AEK Athens's chances?
Before matchday 2, AEK Athens had a 44% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Now it is 19% (top 8: <1%).
When was Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens played?
Wednesday 14 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP (0–2)
- Sabah – Slavia Praha (2–0)
- Arsenal – Lille (3–0)
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United (2–0)
- Inter – Club Brugge (3–4)
- Galatasaray – Barcelona (1–4)
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven (1–0)
- Viking – Bayern München (3–3)
- Villarreal – Napoli (3–1)
- Feyenoord – Como (3–2)
- LASK – Liverpool (3–6)
- Roma – Real Madrid (3–4)
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe (6–0)
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund (1–0)
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain (2–4)
- Real Betis – Porto (3–2)
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart (0–3)