What does AEK Athens need to go through in the Champions League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 3, AEK Athens are 29th with 3 points. Next match: 4 November, at home against Real Madrid. In our simulations AEK Athens go through (24th place or better) in 19% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 10 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations). The biggest matches are against Galatasaray (matchday 6) and Roma (matchday 7): each result moves the chances by about 32 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 30th, average 28.8.
AEK Athens matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Tuesday 8 September, 18:45Win 51%, draw 25%, defeat 24%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Wednesday 14 October, 21:00Win 25%, draw 25%, defeat 49%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 3Tuesday 20 October, 21:00Win 6%, draw 13%, defeat 81%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 4Wednesday 4 November, 18:45Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 75%Chance of going through:If they win51%If they draw23%If they lose14%
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Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 21:00Win 16%, draw 21%, defeat 63%Chance of going through:If they win48%If they draw19%If they lose11%
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Matchday 6Tuesday 8 December, 21:00Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%Chance of going through:If they win39%If they draw15%If they lose7%
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Matchday 7Tuesday 19 January, 21:00Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 49%Chance of going through:If they win42%If they draw16%If they lose8%
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Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00Win 12%, draw 19%, defeat 69%Chance of going through:If they win50%If they draw21%If they lose13%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points AEK Athens collect in the league phase.
Where could AEK Athens finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Champions League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
- 2Aston Villa9100%
- 3Liverpool9100%
- 4Real Madrid9100%
- 5Real Betis999%
- 6Stuttgart797%
- 7Arsenal7100%
- 8Barcelona6>99%
- 9Como691%
- 10Manchester City699%
- 11Club Brugge687%
- 12Sporting CP690%
- 13Borussia Dortmund695%
- 14Bayern München5>99%
- 15Roma477%
- 16Atlético de Madrid496%
- 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
- 18PSV Eindhoven477%
- 19Villarreal382%
- 20Inter389%
- 21Manchester United360%
- 22Napoli389%
- 23Galatasaray355%
- 24LASK331%
- 25Sabah34%
- 26Feyenoord357%
- 27Lens338%
- 28Bodø/Glimt359%
- 29AEK Athens319%
- 30Leipzig364%
- 31Fenerbahçe230%
- 32Slavia Praha14%
- 33Viking19%
- 34Porto027%
- 35Lille014%
- 36Slovan Bratislava03%
How the league phase works
The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are AEK Athens's chances of going through in the Champions League?
Across 30,000 simulations AEK Athens go through (24th place or better) in 19% of cases and reach the top 8 in <1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do AEK Athens need to qualify?
10 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations.
When is AEK Athens's next match?
4 November, at home against Real Madrid on matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Which match matters most for AEK Athens?
The matchday 8 game away against Borussia Dortmund. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 37 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.