Ararat-Armenia 1–4 Sparta Praha
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
Sparta Praha won 4–1 away at Ararat-Armenia on matchday 1. After the match, Ararat-Armenia are 34th with 0 points, with a 6% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Sparta Praha are now 11th with 4 points, with a 80% chance of going through (top 8: 11%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (55%). The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Ararat-Armenia 1.0, Sparta Praha 1.7.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia | 18% → 6% | 1% → <1% |
| Sparta Praha | 70% → 80% | 16% → 11% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Ararat-Armenia
- MD1LSparta Praha H this match1–4
- MD2LJagiellonia A1–3
- MD3AZ Alkmaar H22 October
- MD4Torreense A5 November
- MD5Salzburg A26 November
- MD6N.E.C. Nijmegen H10 December
- MD7Celje H21 January
- MD8Milan A28 January
Sparta Praha
- MD1WArarat-Armenia A this match4–1
- MD2DLillestrøm H1–1
- MD3Olympiacos A22 October
- MD4Bournemouth H5 November
- MD5AZ Alkmaar H26 November
- MD6Salzburg A10 December
- MD7Crystal Palace A21 January
- MD8Rennes H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
The match finished 1–4 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Ararat-Armenia a 21% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Sparta Praha 55%. The outcome the model rated most likely (55%). The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance.
How did the result change Ararat-Armenia's chances?
Before matchday 1, Ararat-Armenia had a 18% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Now it is 6% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Sparta Praha's chances?
Before matchday 1, Sparta Praha had a 70% chance of going through (top 8: 16%). Now it is 80% (top 8: 11%).
When was Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha played?
Wednesday 16 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)