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What does Sparta Praha need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 2, Sparta Praha are 11th with 4 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Olympiacos. In our simulations Sparta Praha go through (24th place or better) in 80% of cases and make the top 8 in 11%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against AZ Alkmaar (matchday 5) and Rennes (matchday 8): each result moves the chances by about 29 percentage points.

11thleague position
4points from 2 matches
80%chance of going through (top 24)
11%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 18th, average 17.7.

Sparta Praha matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
    Win 59%, draw 23%, defeat 18%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 18:45
    HomeLillestrøm1–1
    Win 64%, draw 21%, defeat 15%
    Chance of going through:Played
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 21:00
    AwayOlympiacos –
    Win 23%, draw 24%, defeat 53%
    Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw84%If they lose72%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    HomeBournemouth –
    Win 32%, draw 26%, defeat 42%
    Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw81%If they lose69%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    HomeAZ Alkmaar –
    Win 40%, draw 26%, defeat 33%
    Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw79%If they lose65%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 21:00
    AwaySalzburg –
    Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%
    Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw82%If they lose69%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00
    Win 22%, draw 24%, defeat 54%
    Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw84%If they lose72%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    HomeRennes –
    Win 39%, draw 26%, defeat 34%
    Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw78%If they lose66%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Sparta Praha collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
3unlikely
40%
50%
60%
73%
832%
984%
1099%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19100%
20100%
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Sparta Praha finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus6100%
  2. 2Leverkusen6>99%
  3. 3Benfica6100%
  4. 4Beşiktaş698%
  5. 5Bournemouth6>99%
  6. 6Omonia682%
  7. 7Ferencváros697%
  8. 8Lyon699%
  9. 9Sunderland699%
  10. 10Olympiacos699%
  11. 11Sparta Praha480%
  12. 12Union SG496%
  13. 13Rennes491%
  14. 14GNK Dinamo476%
  15. 15Crystal Palace393%
  16. 16Milan399%
  17. 17Jagiellonia359%
  18. 18OFI Crete352%
  19. 19Torreense356%
  20. 20AZ Alkmaar386%
  21. 21Salzburg384%
  22. 22Real Sociedad172%
  23. 23Lillestrøm118%
  24. 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
  25. 25Levski Sofia124%
  26. 26Sturm Graz146%
  27. 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
  28. 28Anderlecht038%
  29. 29Celta054%
  30. 30Hoffenheim047%
  31. 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
  32. 32Marseille068%
  33. 33Celtic038%
  34. 34Ararat-Armenia06%
  35. 35Celje019%
  36. 36Lech Poznań019%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Sparta Praha's chances of going through in the Europa League?

Across 30,000 simulations Sparta Praha go through (24th place or better) in 80% of cases and reach the top 8 in 11%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Sparta Praha need to qualify?

9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.

When is Sparta Praha's next match?

22 October, away against Olympiacos on matchday 3 of the Europa League.

Which match matters most for Sparta Praha?

The matchday 5 game at home against AZ Alkmaar. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 29 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.