Salzburg 0–4 Milan
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Milan won 4–0 away at Salzburg on matchday 2. After the match, Salzburg are 21st with 3 points, with a 84% chance of going through (top 8: 12%). Milan are now 16th with 3 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 55%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (46%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Salzburg 1.1, Milan 1.5.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salzburg | 14th → 21st | 90% → 84% | 31% → 12% |
| Milan | 30th → 16th | 93% → 99% | 38% → 55% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Salzburg
- MD1WLevski Sofia A1–0
- MD2LMilan H this match0–4
- MD3Celje A22 October
- MD4Anderlecht A5 November
- MD5Ararat-Armenia H26 November
- MD6Sparta Praha H10 December
- MD7Leverkusen A21 January
- MD8Crystal Palace H28 January
Milan
- MD1LBenfica H0–2
- MD2WSalzburg A this match4–0
- MD3Bournemouth A22 October
- MD4Ferencváros H5 November
- MD5Olympiacos A26 November
- MD6Sunderland H10 December
- MD7Levski Sofia A21 January
- MD8Ararat-Armenia H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Salzburg vs Milan?
The match finished 0–4 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Was RB Salzburg vs Milan a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Salzburg a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Milan 46%. The outcome the model rated most likely (46%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance.
How did the result change Salzburg's chances?
Before matchday 2, Salzburg had a 90% chance of going through (top 8: 31%). Now it is 84% (top 8: 12%).
How did the result change Milan's chances?
Before matchday 2, Milan had a 93% chance of going through (top 8: 38%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 55%).
When was Salzburg vs Milan played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm (1–1)
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva (2–1)
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen (0–4)
- Celje – Omonia (0–3)
- Lyon – Crystal Palace (3–2)
- Union SG – Real Sociedad (1–1)
- Torreense – Sunderland (1–2)
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz (3–0)
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň (2–1)
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht (1–0)
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia (3–1)
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia (1–1)
- Marseille – Olympiacos (0–1)
- Celta – Juventus (1–2)
- Benfica – Celtic (4–1)
- Rennes – OFI Crete (2–1)
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş (2–3)