Lyon vs Crystal Palace: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Lyon10th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Crystal Palace2nd, 3 pts
44%Lyon win
26%Draw
30%Crystal Palace win
The model gives Lyon a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Crystal Palace 30%. Lyon's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 88%. Crystal Palace's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 90%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lyon: top 8 | Lyon: through | Crystal Palace: top 8 | Crystal Palace: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 44% | 94% | 45% | 94% |
| Lyon win | 61% | 98% | 31% | 90% |
| Draw | 36% | 93% | 43% | 94% |
| Crystal Palace win | 26% | 88% | 67% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş