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Lyon 3–2 Crystal Palace

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45

Lyon8th, 6 pts
3–2Final score
Crystal Palace15th, 3 pts

Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3–2 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Lyon are 8th with 6 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 59%). Crystal Palace are now 15th with 3 points, with a 93% chance of going through (top 8: 27%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.

44%Lyon win
26%Draw
30%Crystal Palace win

The outcome the model rated most likely (44%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Lyon 1.4, Crystal Palace 1.2.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.

TeamPositionThrough (top 24)Top 8
Lyon10th → 8th95% → 99%46% → 59%
Crystal Palace2nd → 15th95% → 93%46% → 27%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Lyon

6 points from 2 matches, goal difference +2

  1. MD1WAnderlecht A2–1
  2. MD2WCrystal Palace H this match3–2
  3. MD3Hoffenheim A22 October
  4. MD4Real Sociedad A5 November
  5. MD5Lillestrøm H26 November
  6. MD6Union SG H10 December
  7. MD7Jagiellonia A21 January
  8. MD8Leverkusen H28 January

Crystal Palace

3 points from 2 matches, goal difference +3

  1. MD1WLech Poznań H4–0
  2. MD2LLyon A this match2–3
  3. MD3Beşiktaş A22 October
  4. MD4Hoffenheim H5 November
  5. MD5Real Sociedad H26 November
  6. MD6Jagiellonia A10 December
  7. MD7Sparta Praha H21 January
  8. MD8Salzburg A28 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

The match finished 3–2 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Was Lyon vs Crystal Palace a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Lyon a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Crystal Palace 30%. The outcome the model rated most likely (44%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance.

How did the result change Lyon's chances?

Before matchday 2, Lyon had a 95% chance of going through (top 8: 46%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 59%).

How did the result change Crystal Palace's chances?

Before matchday 2, Crystal Palace had a 95% chance of going through (top 8: 46%). Now it is 93% (top 8: 27%).

When was Lyon vs Crystal Palace played?

Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 2 fixtures

Full matchday 2: what every team needs →