Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
Crystal Palace2nd, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
Real Sociedad22nd, 0 pts
47%Crystal Palace win
26%Draw
28%Real Sociedad win
The model gives Crystal Palace a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Real Sociedad 28%. Crystal Palace's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 87%. Real Sociedad's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 89%, a defeat to 60%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Crystal Palace: top 8 | Crystal Palace: through | Real Sociedad: top 8 | Real Sociedad: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 45% | 94% | 12% | 71% |
| Crystal Palace win | 60% | 98% | 5% | 60% |
| Draw | 38% | 92% | 10% | 71% |
| Real Sociedad win | 26% | 87% | 26% | 89% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz