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Omonia 1–0 Celta

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 1 · Wednesday 16 September, 21:00

Omonia6th, 6 pts
1–0Final score
Celta29th, 0 pts

Omonia beat Celta 1–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Omonia are 6th with 6 points, with a 82% chance of going through (top 8: 9%). Celta are now 29th with 0 points, with a 54% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.

26%Omonia win
25%Draw
49%Celta win

Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 8% chance. Expected goals before the match: Omonia 1.1, Celta 1.6.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).

TeamThrough (top 24)Top 8
Omonia26% → 82%2% → 9%
Celta79% → 54%23% → 2%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Omonia

6 points from 2 matches, goal difference +4

  1. MD1WCelta H this match1–0
  2. MD2WCelje A3–0
  3. MD3Benfica H22 October
  4. MD4N.E.C. Nijmegen A5 November
  5. MD5Juventus A26 November
  6. MD6Celtic H10 December
  7. MD7Rennes A21 January
  8. MD8Beşiktaş H28 January

Celta

0 points from 2 matches, goal difference -2

  1. MD1LOmonia A this match0–1
  2. MD2LJuventus H1–2
  3. MD3Celtic A22 October
  4. MD4Union SG H5 November
  5. MD5Bournemouth H26 November
  6. MD6Marseille A10 December
  7. MD7Hapoel Beer-Sheva A21 January
  8. MD8Lillestrøm H28 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Omonia vs Celta?

The match finished 1–0 (Europa League, matchday 1).

Was Omonia vs Celta Vigo a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Omonia a 26% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Celta 49%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 8% chance.

How did the result change Omonia's chances?

Before matchday 1, Omonia had a 26% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 82% (top 8: 9%).

How did the result change Celta's chances?

Before matchday 1, Celta had a 79% chance of going through (top 8: 23%). Now it is 54% (top 8: 2%).

When was Omonia vs Celta played?

Wednesday 16 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 1 fixtures

Full matchday 1: what every team needs →