What does Celtic need to go through in the Europa League?
← Back to the Europa League table
Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 2, Celtic are 33rd with 0 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Celta. In our simulations Celtic go through (24th place or better) in 38% of cases and make the top 8 in 1%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Torreense (matchday 5) and Omonia (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 37 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 30th, average 25.9.
Celtic matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
-
Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00Win 42%, draw 26%, defeat 32%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 13%, draw 19%, defeat 68%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 21:00Win 39%, draw 26%, defeat 35%Chance of going through:If they win57%If they draw33%If they lose22%
-
Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 35%, draw 26%, defeat 38%Chance of going through:If they win58%If they draw34%If they lose23%
-
Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%Chance of going through:If they win56%If they draw31%If they lose19%
-
Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45Win 37%, draw 26%, defeat 36%Chance of going through:If they win59%If they draw32%If they lose21%
-
Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00Win 32%, draw 26%, defeat 41%Chance of going through:If they win60%If they draw35%If they lose24%
-
Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00Win 22%, draw 24%, defeat 54%Chance of going through:If they win64%If they draw40%If they lose28%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Celtic collect in the league phase.
Where could Celtic finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Europa League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Juventus6100%
- 2Leverkusen6>99%
- 3Benfica6100%
- 4Beşiktaş698%
- 5Bournemouth6>99%
- 6Omonia682%
- 7Ferencváros697%
- 8Lyon699%
- 9Sunderland699%
- 10Olympiacos699%
- 11Sparta Praha480%
- 12Union SG496%
- 13Rennes491%
- 14GNK Dinamo476%
- 15Crystal Palace393%
- 16Milan399%
- 17Jagiellonia359%
- 18OFI Crete352%
- 19Torreense356%
- 20AZ Alkmaar386%
- 21Salzburg384%
- 22Real Sociedad172%
- 23Lillestrøm118%
- 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
- 25Levski Sofia124%
- 26Sturm Graz146%
- 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
- 28Anderlecht038%
- 29Celta054%
- 30Hoffenheim047%
- 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
- 32Marseille068%
- 33Celtic038%
- 34Ararat-Armenia06%
- 35Celje019%
- 36Lech Poznań019%
How the league phase works
The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Celtic's chances of going through in the Europa League?
Across 30,000 simulations Celtic go through (24th place or better) in 38% of cases and reach the top 8 in 1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Celtic need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Celtic's next match?
22 October, at home against Celta on matchday 3 of the Europa League.
Which match matters most for Celtic?
The matchday 6 game away against Omonia. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 37 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.