Celtic vs Celta: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
Celtic28th, 0 pts
–Matchday 3
Celta26th, 0 pts
40%Celtic win
26%Draw
34%Celta win
The model gives Celtic a 40% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Celta 34%. Celtic's chance of going through is 52% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 35%. Celta's chance of going through is 64% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 49%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celtic: top 8 | Celtic: through | Celta: top 8 | Celta: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 52% | 9% | 64% |
| Celtic win | 11% | 70% | 3% | 49% |
| Draw | 4% | 48% | 7% | 62% |
| Celta win | 2% | 35% | 19% | 83% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
- Ferencváros – Torreense
- GNK Dinamo – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Juventus – Rennes
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
- Olympiacos – Sparta Praha
- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon