Celtic 1–3 Ferencváros
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00
Ferencváros won 3–1 away at Celtic on matchday 1. After the match, Celtic are 33rd with 0 points, with a 38% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Ferencváros are now 7th with 6 points, with a 97% chance of going through (top 8: 34%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Celtic 1.5, Ferencváros 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 70% → 38% | 16% → 1% |
| Ferencváros | 61% → 97% | 10% → 34% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Ferencváros
- MD1WCeltic A this match3–1
- MD2WViktoria Plzeň H2–1
- MD3Torreense H22 October
- MD4Milan A5 November
- MD5Celje H26 November
- MD6Lech Poznań A10 December
- MD7Juventus H21 January
- MD8Hoffenheim A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Celtic vs Ferencváros?
The match finished 1–3 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Celtic vs Ferencváros a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Celtic a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Ferencváros 26%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance.
How did the result change Celtic's chances?
Before matchday 1, Celtic had a 70% chance of going through (top 8: 16%). Now it is 38% (top 8: 1%).
How did the result change Ferencváros's chances?
Before matchday 1, Ferencváros had a 61% chance of going through (top 8: 10%). Now it is 97% (top 8: 34%).
When was Celtic vs Ferencváros played?
Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)