Real Sociedad 1–2 Bournemouth
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00
Bournemouth won 2–1 away at Real Sociedad on matchday 1. After the match, Real Sociedad are 22nd with 1 point, with a 72% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Bournemouth are now 5th with 6 points, with a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 70%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 33%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 8% chance. Expected goals before the match: Real Sociedad 1.4, Bournemouth 1.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 81% → 72% | 25% → 5% |
| Bournemouth | 90% → >99% | 39% → 70% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Real Sociedad
- MD1LBournemouth H this match1–2
- MD2DUnion SG A1–1
- MD3Lillestrøm A22 October
- MD4Lyon H5 November
- MD5Crystal Palace A26 November
- MD6Torreense H10 December
- MD7Viktoria Plzeň H21 January
- MD8Juventus A28 January
Bournemouth
- MD1WReal Sociedad A this match2–1
- MD2WSturm Graz H3–0
- MD3Milan H22 October
- MD4Sparta Praha A5 November
- MD5Celta A26 November
- MD6Viktoria Plzeň H10 December
- MD7Lillestrøm A21 January
- MD8Hapoel Beer-Sheva H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?
The match finished 1–2 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Real Sociedad a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Bournemouth 33%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 33%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 8% chance.
How did the result change Real Sociedad's chances?
Before matchday 1, Real Sociedad had a 81% chance of going through (top 8: 25%). Now it is 72% (top 8: 5%).
How did the result change Bournemouth's chances?
Before matchday 1, Bournemouth had a 90% chance of going through (top 8: 39%). Now it is >99% (top 8: 70%).
When was Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth played?
Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)