Celta vs Bournemouth: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
Celta26th, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Bournemouth12th, 3 pts
38%Celta win
26%Draw
35%Bournemouth win
The model gives Celta a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Bournemouth 35%. Celta's chance of going through is 64% now: a win would take it to 81%, a defeat to 48%. Bournemouth's chance of going through is 97% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 94%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celta: top 8 | Celta: through | Bournemouth: top 8 | Bournemouth: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 64% | 57% | 97% |
| Celta win | 17% | 81% | 42% | 94% |
| Draw | 6% | 60% | 55% | 97% |
| Bournemouth win | 3% | 48% | 76% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz