AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Hapoel Beer-Sheva
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
AZ Alkmaar beat Hapoel Beer-Sheva 2–1 at home on matchday 2. After the match, AZ Alkmaar are 20th with 3 points, with a 86% chance of going through (top 8: 13%). Hapoel Beer-Sheva are now 24th with 1 point, with a 20% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (60%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance. Expected goals before the match: AZ Alkmaar 1.9, Hapoel Beer-Sheva 0.9.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 25th → 20th | 73% → 86% | 12% → 13% |
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva | 18th → 24th | 26% → 20% | 1% → <1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
AZ Alkmaar
- MD1LSunderland A0–1
- MD2WHapoel Beer-Sheva H this match2–1
- MD3Ararat-Armenia A22 October
- MD4Juventus H5 November
- MD5Sparta Praha A26 November
- MD6Sturm Graz H10 December
- MD7GNK Dinamo H21 January
- MD8Benfica A28 January
Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- MD1DGNK Dinamo H0–0
- MD2LAZ Alkmaar A this match1–2
- MD3Union SG A22 October
- MD4OFI Crete H5 November
- MD5Beşiktaş A26 November
- MD6Juventus H10 December
- MD7Celta H21 January
- MD8Bournemouth A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva?
The match finished 2–1 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Was AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave AZ Alkmaar a 60% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Hapoel Beer-Sheva 18%. The outcome the model rated most likely (60%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance.
How did the result change AZ Alkmaar's chances?
Before matchday 2, AZ Alkmaar had a 73% chance of going through (top 8: 12%). Now it is 86% (top 8: 13%).
How did the result change Hapoel Beer-Sheva's chances?
Before matchday 2, Hapoel Beer-Sheva had a 26% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Now it is 20% (top 8: <1%).
When was AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm (1–1)
- Salzburg – Milan (0–4)
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen (0–4)
- Celje – Omonia (0–3)
- Lyon – Crystal Palace (3–2)
- Union SG – Real Sociedad (1–1)
- Torreense – Sunderland (1–2)
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz (3–0)
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň (2–1)
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht (1–0)
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia (3–1)
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia (1–1)
- Marseille – Olympiacos (0–1)
- Celta – Juventus (1–2)
- Benfica – Celtic (4–1)
- Rennes – OFI Crete (2–1)
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş (2–3)