AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
AZ Alkmaar25th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Hapoel Beer-Sheva18th, 1 pts
61%AZ Alkmaar win
22%Draw
17%Hapoel Beer-Sheva win
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 61% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Hapoel Beer-Sheva 17%. AZ Alkmaar's chance of going through is 75% now: a win would take it to 85%, a defeat to 51%. Hapoel Beer-Sheva's chance of going through is 27% now: a win would take it to 55%, a defeat to 19%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| AZ Alkmaar: top 8 | AZ Alkmaar: through | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: top 8 | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 75% | 1% | 27% |
| AZ Alkmaar win | 20% | 85% | <1% | 19% |
| Draw | 7% | 65% | 1% | 30% |
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva win | 3% | 51% | 5% | 55% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş