What does Celta need to go through in the Europa League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Celta are 26th with 0 points. Next match: 15 October, at home against Juventus. In our simulations Celta go through (24th place or better) in 64% of cases and make the top 8 in 9%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 7 game away against Hapoel Beer-Sheva: winning or losing it moves the chances by 35 percentage points.

26thleague position

0point from 1 match

64%chance of going through (top 24)

9%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 21st, average 20.6.

Celta matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Wednesday 16 September, 21:00

AwayOmonia0–1

Win 49%, draw 25%, defeat 26%

Chance of going through:Played
Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00

HomeJuventus –

Win 27%, draw 25%, defeat 48%

Chance of going through:If they win84%If they draw65%If they lose53%
Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 21:00

AwayCeltic –

Win 34%, draw 26%, defeat 40%

Chance of going through:If they win83%If they draw62%If they lose49%
Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00

HomeUnion SG –

Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%

Chance of going through:If they win79%If they draw58%If they lose46%
Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 18:45

HomeBournemouth –

Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 35%

Chance of going through:If they win81%If they draw60%If they lose48%
Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45

AwayMarseille –

Win 23%, draw 24%, defeat 53%

Chance of going through:If they win85%If they draw65%If they lose54%
Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00

AwayHapoel Beer-Sheva –

Win 46%, draw 26%, defeat 28%

Chance of going through:If they win80%If they draw57%If they lose44%
Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00

HomeLillestrøm –

Win 67%, draw 20%, defeat 14%

Chance of going through:If they win73%If they draw52%If they lose38%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Celta collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

7<1%

812%

960%

1096%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17100%

18100%

19100%

20unlikely

21unlikely

22unlikely

23unlikely

24unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Celta finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Juventus399%
2Crystal Palace394%
3Sparta Praha383%
4Beşiktaş385%
5Union SG392%
6Ferencváros383%
7Benfica399%
8Leverkusen399%
9OFI Crete349%
10Lyon394%
11Torreense360%
12Bournemouth397%
13Olympiacos391%
14Salzburg388%
15Omonia346%
16Sunderland393%
17Rennes183%
18Hapoel Beer-Sheva127%
19GNK Dinamo154%
20Sturm Graz152%
21Jagiellonia041%
22Real Sociedad071%
23Anderlecht050%
24Lillestrøm015%
25AZ Alkmaar075%
26Celta064%
27Levski Sofia021%
28Celtic052%
29Hoffenheim071%
30Milan095%
31Celje040%
32Marseille082%
33Ararat-Armenia010%
34Viktoria Plzeň049%
35Lech Poznań033%
36N.E.C. Nijmegen063%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.