GNK Dinamo vs Leverkusen: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
GNK Dinamo19th, 1 pts
–Matchday 5
Leverkusen8th, 3 pts
20%GNK Dinamo win
23%Draw
56%Leverkusen win
The model gives GNK Dinamo a 20% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Leverkusen 56%. GNK Dinamo's chance of going through is 54% now: a win would take it to 78%, a defeat to 43%. Leverkusen's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| GNK Dinamo: top 8 | GNK Dinamo: through | Leverkusen: top 8 | Leverkusen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 54% | 75% | 99% |
| GNK Dinamo win | 16% | 78% | 55% | 97% |
| Draw | 5% | 58% | 67% | 99% |
| Leverkusen win | 3% | 43% | 85% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz