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Europa League matchday 5: what every team needs

← Europa League: full table and chances

Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Europa League matchday 5 is played on 26 November across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for OFI Crete: a win would lift their chances of going through to 78%, a defeat would drop them to 38%.

Matchday 5 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva 61% · 22% · 17%
  2. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Celta – Bournemouth 36% · 26% · 38%
  3. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen 20% · 23% · 57%
  4. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Marseille – Levski Sofia 72% · 18% · 11%
  5. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Olympiacos – Milan 33% · 26% · 41%
  6. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia 74% · 16% · 9%
  7. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Union SG – Lech Poznań 62% · 22% · 16%
  8. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica 21% · 24% · 55%
  9. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad 49% · 25% · 25%
  10. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Ferencváros – Celje 58% · 23% · 19%
  11. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz 56% · 24% · 21%
  12. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Juventus – Omonia 80% · 13% · 7%
  13. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Lyon – Lillestrøm 74% · 16% · 9%
  14. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes 33% · 26% · 40%
  15. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 OFI Crete – Anderlecht 35% · 26% · 39%
  16. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar 41% · 26% · 33%
  17. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Sunderland – Jagiellonia 60% · 22% · 18%
  18. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Torreense – Celtic 30% · 26% · 44%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
OFI CreteOFI Crete – Anderlecht56%78%38%
AnderlechtOFI Crete – Anderlecht49%68%31%
CelticTorreense – Celtic46%64%27%
CeljeFerencváros – Celje39%65%29%
JagielloniaSunderland – Jagiellonia41%68%32%

Frequently asked questions

When is Europa League matchday 5 played?

On 26 November, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 5?

OFI Crete. A win lifts their chances of going through to 78%, a defeat drops them to 38% — a swing of about 40 percentage points.

What does the table look like before matchday 5?

Juventus lead with 3 points. The full table with every team's chances is on the Europa League page.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 15 points usually secure the top 8, and 9 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays