Leverkusen 2–0 Celje
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Matchday 1 · Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
Leverkusen beat Celje 2–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Leverkusen are 2nd with 6 points, with a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 83%). Celje are now 35th with 0 points, with a 19% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (79%). The exact score was also the model's most likely one (13%). Expected goals before the match: Leverkusen 2.6, Celje 0.6.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Leverkusen | 98% → >99% | 71% → 83% |
| Celje | 43% → 19% | 4% → <1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Leverkusen
- MD1WCelje H this match2–0
- MD2WLech Poznań A4–0
- MD3OFI Crete A22 October
- MD4Marseille H5 November
- MD5GNK Dinamo A26 November
- MD6Beşiktaş H10 December
- MD7Salzburg H21 January
- MD8Lyon A28 January
Celje
- MD1LLeverkusen A this match0–2
- MD2LOmonia H0–3
- MD3Salzburg H22 October
- MD4Sturm Graz A5 November
- MD5Ferencváros A26 November
- MD6Olympiacos H10 December
- MD7Ararat-Armenia A21 January
- MD8N.E.C. Nijmegen H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leverkusen vs Celje?
The match finished 2–0 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Leverkusen a 79% chance of winning, a draw 14% and Celje 7%. The outcome the model rated most likely (79%). The exact score was also the model's most likely one (13%).
How did the result change Leverkusen's chances?
Before matchday 1, Leverkusen had a 98% chance of going through (top 8: 71%). Now it is >99% (top 8: 83%).
How did the result change Celje's chances?
Before matchday 1, Celje had a 43% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 19% (top 8: <1%).
When was Leverkusen vs Celje played?
Wednesday 16 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)