What does Lens need to go through in the Champions League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 3, Lens are 27th with 3 points. Next match: 4 November, at home against Como. In our simulations Lens go through (24th place or better) in 38% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 10 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations). The biggest matches are against Bodø/Glimt (matchday 6) and Como (matchday 4): each result moves the chances by about 42 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 29th, average 25.8.
Lens matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Thursday 10 September, 21:00Win 40%, draw 26%, defeat 34%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 18:45Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 3Wednesday 21 October, 21:00Win 25%, draw 25%, defeat 49%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 4Wednesday 4 November, 21:00Win 37%, draw 26%, defeat 37%Chance of going through:If they win62%If they draw31%If they lose19%
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Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 21:00Win 25%, draw 25%, defeat 50%Chance of going through:If they win67%If they draw38%If they lose23%
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Matchday 6Wednesday 9 December, 21:00Win 45%, draw 26%, defeat 29%Chance of going through:If they win58%If they draw26%If they lose16%
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Matchday 7Wednesday 20 January, 21:00Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 58%Chance of going through:If they win69%If they draw40%If they lose26%
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Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 76%Chance of going through:If they win75%If they draw46%If they lose32%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Lens collect in the league phase.
Where could Lens finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Champions League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
- 2Aston Villa9100%
- 3Liverpool9100%
- 4Real Madrid9100%
- 5Real Betis999%
- 6Stuttgart797%
- 7Arsenal7100%
- 8Barcelona6>99%
- 9Como691%
- 10Manchester City699%
- 11Club Brugge687%
- 12Sporting CP690%
- 13Borussia Dortmund695%
- 14Bayern München5>99%
- 15Roma477%
- 16Atlético de Madrid496%
- 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
- 18PSV Eindhoven477%
- 19Villarreal382%
- 20Inter389%
- 21Manchester United360%
- 22Napoli389%
- 23Galatasaray355%
- 24LASK331%
- 25Sabah34%
- 26Feyenoord357%
- 27Lens338%
- 28Bodø/Glimt359%
- 29AEK Athens319%
- 30Leipzig364%
- 31Fenerbahçe230%
- 32Slavia Praha14%
- 33Viking19%
- 34Porto027%
- 35Lille014%
- 36Slovan Bratislava03%
How the league phase works
The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Lens's chances of going through in the Champions League?
Across 30,000 simulations Lens go through (24th place or better) in 38% of cases and reach the top 8 in <1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Lens need to qualify?
10 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations.
When is Lens's next match?
4 November, at home against Como on matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Which match matters most for Lens?
The matchday 5 game away against Leipzig. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 44 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.